India’s devastating loss in the 4th test of the Border Gavaskar trophy at Melbourne Cricket Ground significantly impacted the team’s chances to qualify for the World Test Championship(2023-25) final. As per the fresh rankings, India is down to 3rd spot with a winning percentage of 52.78. On the other hand, Australia is now at the 2nd spot with 61.46%, with the last test match of the series approaching near. Are there any scenarios that can work in the favor of the two-time runner-ups to qualify for the World Test Championship final?
India will play its last test match of the championship in Sydney against Australia; however, the latter has two more matches after the previous test match of the Border Gavaskar trophy. Australia will play in a two-match test series against Sri Lanka after the 5th test match against India.
What Are The Odds That India Will Qualify For The WTC Final?
If India wins the final match of the Border Gavaskar trophy at Sydney and levels the series to 2-2, then India’s winning percentage will increase to 55.26. That will force Australia to win at least one match against Sri Lanka in the two-match series to surpass India’s winning percentage.
However, if the last test match against India is a draw, then Australia would need to draw in one of the two test matches against Sri Lanka or win over Sri Lanka to maintain its lead over India.
The ideal scenario that could help India qualify for the finals is as follows: If India gets a win in the last test match and Australia loses both test matches against Sri Lanka, then India will qualify for the final OR
If all the test matches Australia plays next are drawn, then India will reach the finals of the test championship as India has more test series wins than the defending champions.
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